Yuan Advances to Strongest Level in Two Years, More Gains Seen

© Reuters. Yuan Advances to Strongest Level in Two Years, More Gains Seen

(Bloomberg) — China’s yuan climbed to its strongest since December 2015 on Monday, and analysts predict further upside given weakness in the dollar.

The rose as much as 0.81 percent to 6.4138 per dollar, after the People’s Bank of China raised the daily reference rate the most in three months and as the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell for the fourth day in a row. China’s currency traded 0.67 percent stronger at 1:39 p.m. in Shanghai.

“The recent advance is unsurprising compared with other Asian currencies and dollar weakness,” said Gao Qi, Singapore-based foreign-exchange strategist at Scotiabank. “Technically some correction may be needed for a further advance, but a widening trade surplus with the U.S. and the weakness in the dollar should continue to offer support.”

China’s trade surplus with the U.S. rose 13 percent to 1.87 trillion yuan ($291 billion) in 2017, customs spokesman Huang Songping said at a briefing Friday. Bloomberg’s was down 0.35 percent, taking its loss since last Tuesday to 1.7 percent.

The central bank was said to have recently removed the so-called counter-cyclical factor used in setting the yuan’s daily reference rate, which some have interpreted as a sign it’s comfortable letting the market play a bigger role in the exchange rate. Gao said the yuan’s gains may be “fairly big” following the move.

A Bloomberg replica of CFETS Index rose 0.16 percent to 94.91 on Monday. “The key level to watch is the RMB Index above the 95 level, which is where the authorities would look to slow down the pace of appreciation,” said Khoon Goh, Singapore-based head of Asia research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.