Forex – Dollar near 1-Week Lows as Trade Tensions Escalate

© Reuters. – The U.S. dollar was trading near one-week lows against a currency basket on Monday, with the yen and the Swiss franc, seen as safe havens in time of uncertainty, gaining ground as global trade tensions escalated.

With the Trump administrations combative stance on trade widening to countries beyond China investor appetite for risk has been dampened by fears of a slowdown in global growth.

U.S. and Mexican officials are preparing for trade talks on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump vowed to impose tariffs on all Mexican imports to the U.S. in an intensifying dispute over migration.

“The Mexican news is quite punchy. No one was really expecting it to the same extent they were with China,” said Chris Weston, Melbourne-based head of research at foreign exchange brokerage Pepperstone.

“Mexico is a huge trade partner with the U.S.,” he said.

The dollar was down 0.1% against the Swiss franc to 0.9991 by 02:47 ET (06:48 GMT) and was at 108.35 against the yen after brushing a four month low of 108.08 overnight.

On Friday, the Japanese currency had booked its sharpest daily rise in more than two years, climbing a little over 1.2% during the session.

The yen is considered a safe haven asset in times of geopolitical and financial turmoil as Japan is the world’s biggest creditor nation.

The Mexican peso, hit by Trump’s sudden threat to impose tariffs on Friday, regained some stability, trading at 19.6373 to the dollar, after its 2.5% fall on Friday.

Market participants also kept a focus on the trade dispute between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies.

A senior Chinese official and trade negotiator said on Sunday Washington cannot use pressure to force a trade deal on China and refused to be drawn on whether the leaders of the two countries would meet at the G20 summit in Japan at the end of the month to bash out an agreement.

“Markets are trying to catch up with negative news in relation to trade relations for the time being,” said Kumiko Ishikawa, senior analyst at Sony Financial Holdings.

“They’re seriously starting to react to prolonged trade tensions in a risk-off way.”

The dollar dipped after benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit as low as 2.121% on Monday, their lowest since September 2017.

Against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar was not far from a one-week low at 97.692, though it is still up 1.5% for the year.

The euro was little changed at 1.1163 tacking on 0.35% on Friday – its first gain in five sessions.

The Australian dollar was at 0.694 after hitting a three week high of 0.6959 overnight on the back of the positive Chinese factory activity reading.

The ‘s gain came despite a New York Times report, citing sources, that Trump had been urged to impose tariffs on Australian imports in response to an increase in exports of aluminum to the United States over the last year.

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